Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.203170 1.493092 1.811923 2.185354 2.607561 3.067093 3.602014
2025-02-09 0.705203 1.052297 1.478560 2.025950 2.695979 3.476075 4.439498
2025-02-16 0.416142 0.763532 1.242737 1.914703 2.796973 3.883066 5.288041
2025-02-23 0.259369 0.593100 1.109851 1.894522 2.987525 4.394256 6.279649
2025-03-02 0.151202 0.449402 0.973768 1.836183 3.106104 4.807017 7.157624
2025-03-09 0.104036 0.391163 0.952024 1.932074 3.433917 5.501614 8.418505
2025-03-16 0.061260 0.314667 0.876978 1.928443 3.609583 5.990733 9.420133
2025-03-23 0.043369 0.288188 0.885996 2.057870 3.985345 6.766133 10.824294
2025-03-30 0.027980 0.255029 0.871875 2.142257 4.292343 7.451201 12.120667
2025-04-06 0.015762 0.217115 0.835953 2.180122 4.523689 8.031033 13.282749
2025-04-13 0.006346 0.169502 0.760786 2.132207 4.608758 8.395007 14.147764
2025-04-20 0.002654 0.143791 0.731588 2.166542 4.826946 8.958316 15.302007
2025-04-27 0.000821 0.122037 0.707200 2.210338 5.068547 9.572954 16.557754
2025-05-04 0.000027 0.089314 0.633203 2.138539 5.104600 9.874675 17.370775
2025-05-11 NaN 0.063662 0.565846 2.068224 5.134987 10.164806 18.170344
2025-05-18 NaN 0.049486 0.532791 2.070325 5.293938 10.658405 19.276342
2025-05-25 NaN 0.034555 0.482200 2.020239 5.350306 10.987607 20.142402
2025-06-01 NaN 0.031812 0.493780 2.128816 5.711692 11.815291 21.766546
2025-06-08 NaN 0.023734 0.465501 2.128214 5.861320 12.301321 22.883536
2025-06-15 NaN 0.023263 0.488253 2.268218 6.290785 13.253414 24.718139
2025-06-22 NaN 0.020676 0.493287 2.359234 6.626158 14.056245 26.336082
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016562 0.481225 2.400128 6.862539 14.699195 27.718483
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010596 0.439958 2.349235 6.910088 15.027226 28.622391